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<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 color=navy face=Arial><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:navy'>Dear All<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 color=navy face=Arial><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:navy'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 color=navy face=Arial><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:navy'>Wholly supportive and inspired by <st1:PersonName
w:st="on">Mark</st1:PersonName>’s sketching of the bigger and alternative
picture and looking forward to a joint CRD, Community Sector Coalition and CD
Network event in Feb where we get to play all this out some more<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 color=navy face=Arial><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:navy'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 color=navy face=Arial><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:navy'>Just responding to the threads of
discussion below I wanted to add a couple of thoughts<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 color=navy face=Arial><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:navy'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 color=navy face=Arial><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:navy'>There is always pressure to sum up or
articulate exactly what kind of change is needed and what kind of new politics
can usher it in. One of the paradoxes about localism must be that it leaves
this open – it cannot be predetermined but has to be created anew. Increasingly
for me, it is about creating the space for something to take hold, inciting
that possibility and completely trusting the collective intelligence and
goodwill that grows out of it. <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 color=navy face=Arial><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:navy'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 color=navy face=Arial><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:navy'>This has been my approach (praxis) with
regard to community development, working with voluntary, community, tenant and
resident groups and in particular the work of Paulo Friere really grabbed me,
whereby we create the conditions of change together. The opposite
approach, and one preferred by government and corporate voluntary sector bodies
is ‘capacity building’ whereby the agenda is pre-set and the
assumption is of a deficit, that the community lacks skills. It is fairly
obvious where the balance of power lies, on the top down v bottom up spectrum.
I mention this dilemma because the third sector and community development worker
profession have a lot to offer by way of experience of both how not to do it
and possibly what might work. The orthodoxy in the third sector and possibly
many of the NGO world is for rules and regulations, how-to guides, often a
mimicry of public management models which I would hate to see permeate this emerging
campaigning space so this is by way of a call to be strong and confident in
fluid ways of organizing and anything that celebrates alternatives. <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 color=navy face=Arial><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:navy'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 color=navy face=Arial><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:navy'>We need “movement” more than
we need master plans, blueprints or final destinations<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 color=navy face=Arial><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:navy'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 color=navy face=Arial><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:navy'>Matt<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 color=navy face=Arial><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:navy'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<div>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 color=navy face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:12.0pt;color:navy'>Matthew Scott<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 color=navy face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:12.0pt;color:navy'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 color=navy face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:12.0pt;color:navy'>CSC Director<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 color=navy face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:12.0pt;color:navy'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 color=navy face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:12.0pt;color:navy'>020 7336 9461<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 color=navy face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:12.0pt;color:navy'> <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 color=navy face=Arial><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:navy'>Work mobile: 07827 258411</span></font><font
color=navy><span style='color:navy'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 color=navy face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:12.0pt;color:navy'> <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 color=navy face=Arial><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:navy'>Website:
www.communitysectorcoalition.org.uk</span></font><font color=navy><span
style='color:navy'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 color=navy face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:12.0pt;color:navy'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 color=navy face="Times New Roman"><span
lang=EN-GB style='font-size:10.0pt;color:navy'>T</span></font><font size=1
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<div>
<div class=MsoNormal align=center style='text-align:center'><font size=3
face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>
<hr size=2 width="100%" align=center tabindex=-1>
</span></font></div>
<p class=MsoNormal><b><font size=2 face=Tahoma><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Tahoma;font-weight:bold'>From:</span></font></b><font size=2
face=Tahoma><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Tahoma'> <st1:PersonName
w:st="on">Mark</st1:PersonName> Barrett [mailto:marknbarrett@googlemail.com] <br>
<b><span style='font-weight:bold'>Sent:</span></b> 21 December 2009 04:34<br>
<b><span style='font-weight:bold'>To:</span></b> <st1:PersonName w:st="on">project2012@googlegroups.com</st1:PersonName>;
<st1:PersonName w:st="on">campaignforrealdemocracy@lists.aktivix.org</st1:PersonName><br>
<b><span style='font-weight:bold'>Subject:</span></b> Re:
[Campaignforrealdemocracy] Peoples Assemblies Everywhere Fwd: [climate09-int]
Video: The People's Assembly</span></font><o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:
12.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<div>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:
12.0pt'>Hi Maria<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:
12.0pt'> <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:
12.0pt'>Thanks for this. <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:
12.0pt'> <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:
12.0pt'>Yes, I think that when the communities really start forming, and
joining together under one well organised banner, the internet will help
us all to work out what support is needed, and where, so that
community can help community by matching needs and capacities across
the whole world. And of course the internet can be used for much more
than that too..!<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:
12.0pt'> <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:12.0pt'><st1:PersonName w:st="on"><font
size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>Mark</span></font></st1:PersonName> <o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:
12.0pt'>2009/12/21 mariastella nash <<a
href="mailto:mariastellanash@yahoo.com">mariastellanash@yahoo.com</a>><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<table class=MsoNormalTable border=0 cellspacing=0 cellpadding=0>
<tr>
<td valign=top style='padding:0cm 0cm 0cm 0cm'>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=4 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:13.5pt'>Greetings!<br>
<br>
Why not use the power of the internet as well<br>
<br>
Look what happened with X-Factor!<br>
Serious issues could also be addressed via the internet<br>
<br>
So come on guys, there is a wealth of knowledge, experience and love out
there to help all the vulnerable people in the world.<br>
We who have the electronic ability can make a difference for the other people
who have no electricity or clean water or good food<br>
<br>
Keep onwards and upwards<br>
<br>
Maria<br>
<br>
<br>
</span></font><br>
--- On <b><span style='font-weight:bold'>Mon, 21/12/09, <st1:PersonName
w:st="on">Mark</st1:PersonName> Barrett <i><span style='font-style:italic'><<a
href="mailto:marknbarrett@googlemail.com" target="_blank">marknbarrett@googlemail.com</a>></span></i></span></b>
wrote:<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:12.0pt'><br>
From: <st1:PersonName w:st="on">Mark</st1:PersonName> Barrett <<a
href="mailto:marknbarrett@googlemail.com" target="_blank">marknbarrett@googlemail.com</a>><br>
Subject: [Campaignforrealdemocracy] Peoples Assemblies Everywhere Fwd:
[climate09-int] Video: The People's Assembly<br>
To: "Reclaiming Spaces" <<a
href="mailto:reclaiming-spaces@listi.jpberlin.de" target="_blank">reclaiming-spaces@listi.jpberlin.de</a>>,
<a href="mailto:campaignforrealdemocracy@lists.aktivix.org" target="_blank">campaignforrealdemocracy@lists.aktivix.org</a><br>
Date: Monday, 21 December, 2009, 11:47 <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<div>
<div>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:12.0pt'><font size=3
face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<div>
<div>
<div>
<div>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:12.0pt'>That is precisely the sort of proposals that came
out of both CJA and CJN's final evaluations. Organise Peoples' Assemblies
locally and regionally everywhere, then a simultaneous decentralised Assembly
next summer. Also a call for a global day of action in fall on Climate
Justice principles. And of course, mobilisations during COP16 in <st1:country-region
w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Mexico</st1:place></st1:country-region>
in December. A great spark of hope and a decisive year ahead.<br>
<font color="#888888"><span style='color:#888888'> Olivier</span></font>
<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<div>
<div>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:12.0pt'><br>
<br>
<st1:PersonName w:st="on">Mark</st1:PersonName> Barrett wrote: <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<div>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:12.0pt'>Even more awesome and potentially world historic,
would be a regular People's Assembly held in every major city and rural
neighbourhood of the world, at every Town Hall, all at the
same time. A visible, reachable new society in the making, an unstoppable
leverage against any decision making that is not in the interests of the
whole planet AND a low carbon footprint rolled into one. <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:12.0pt'> <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:12.0pt'><font size=3
face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>City and Rural
Neighbourhoods of the World, Unite!! <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:12.0pt'>2009/12/21 Jody Boehnert <<a
href="http://mc/compose?to=jody@eco-labs.org" target="_blank"><b><font
color=red><span style='color:red;font-weight:bold'>vsl mailsafe has detected
a possible fraud/phishing attempt from "mc" claiming to be</span></font></b>
jody@eco-labs.org</a>><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>Here is
a video of our awesome People's Assembly:<br clear=all>
<br>
<a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FGY9ruYpx3o" target="_blank">http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FGY9ruYpx3o</a><br>
<font color="#888888"><span style='color:#888888'><br>
Jody<br>
</span></font><br>
Hi Anna<br>
<br>
Queries: <br>
> who decides where the barricades are set? <br>
<br>
Do you believe in radical localism (or 'local sovereignty') via inclusive,
consensus decision-making as a key means to work our way out of the
environmental crisis? I think that for the huge number that do, and -
tantalisingly - for the very many others who (though not environmentalists)
nevertheless also believe the better, freer, enlilghtened society begins with
the same realisation, for us ( ie us vs. everyone who does not believe in
that ideal) doesn't the barricade sets itself accordingly? People either
believe that a vital solution to globalisation rests in ordinary people
responsibly taking control of their immediate resources together, with
collective stewardship and everyone equally included in decision-making, and
with federating support for other similar groupings across the
communities who wish to do the same, or they do not, or they are not even
aware of the possibility. The clear setting out of those barricades, on our
terms not theirs as is the case with <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Copenhagen</st1:place></st1:City>
and all the other jamborees would give them the opportunity to decide who's
side they are on. No? <br>
<br>
>how do we set these without enough information being given to the
"grass roots"?<br>
<br>
The barricades would get set by a call out being framed in the terms above,
so question could turn on "do you believe in an alternative society?
Another world, built by the grassroots? If so, let's show what democracy
really looks like.. if so, let's all get ourselves, and our groups down to
our local town hall, for a global picnic / dance / festival / occupation / on
such and such day at such and such time in response to such and such event.
We could use this idea to create the space for more autonomy and network
building in our local areas, while also putting the idea of a new global to
local sovereignty, the free society in the making into the minds of the
mainstream, boosting and building and joining up with all the other local
areas in solidarity. For the environment, for the politics, for the
economics, for the human rights, for all the socially controlled, downtrodden
and oppressed. The message is a new start, for a new people a new
covenant. Maybe a blank placard could be our symbol..?<br>
<br>
>Who decides what this information should be.<br>
this is a lot more complicated than a simple call.<br>
<br>
But it's not THAT difficult, is it? As we know, everything, whether local or
in an anti- conference setting needs to be done with groundrules, so why
should a call for decentralised joined up organising be any different.
Democratic inclusion, equality, consensus, independence, accountability,
transparency etc are a given, right? Surely we are by now mostly agreed on
what constitutes good, democratic practice, aren't we? If not now, after all
this time, when? Isn't that enough info? <br>
<br>
>Who decides whether the call is for 2degrees or 1.5 degrees or 0.8
degrees which is already bad enough if you are one of the communities who are
dying of drought or flood.<br>
<br>
I'm not saying this is not important, it really is, and we need to keep the
pressure on. But also I really don't think we can hope for a real
democratization of the global process (and therefore a new urgency and
openness to the needs of all in the embryonic global governance / regulatory
process) until we ourselves get our act together as a people (we are the
'global justice people' right?). <br>
<br>
And what this means, for me is putting ourselves on the map as a people
rooted in our communities and not just as a travelling circus of resistance,
important though that may be. We've won most of the arguments about
globalisation now, the only thing that's missing is the political will and we
need to push for that, yes of course. But we are much more than this
travelling conscience. Much much more. Not only are we 'everywhere'; but we
always have been; so we are everytime too. As a people questing for universal
justice we transcend space and time. <br>
<br>
"take your inheritance, the kingdom prepared for you since the creation
of the world. For I was hungry and you gave me something to eat, I was
thirsty and you gave me something to drink, I was a stranger and you invited
me in, I needed clothes and you clothed me, I was sick and you looked after
me, I was in prison and you came to visit me.’.. ‘I tell you the
truth, whatever you did for one of the least of these brothers of mine, you
did for me.’" <br>
<br>
What is new is the force of global technology that allows us to communicate,
mobilise and thereby publically constitute ourselves across the planet. And
that is totally unprecedented. But until we start using the amazing
technological tools at our disposal to create a genuinely democratic, visible
'Other' to the capitalist / interstate mode of globalisation I really do not
think we can expect people power to come to its fruition as a force for real
change in the world. As activists, we are in a ghetto. Maybe the biggest
ghetto in human history, but a ghetto nevertheless. We need to break out by
calling upon the highest, and best plan ever, and mobilising according to the
principles of the society we want to see born. A decentralised, joined up
movement for the best dream of all, rooted in local communities and thereby
able to speak to everyone in the context of local conditions, would be very difficult
to hold back, because people would begin to get what we are about. And,
eventually this localism, pursued properly will reduce emissions as so much
of what we burn is in transport. And we will become what we are destined to
be the force for real change at the national, international and global level
that transforms the world for the good of all. Of course it needs to happen
quickly to save people, as you suggest, which is why I am writing with
urgency. <br>
<br>
>Who has this right to decide that its Ok if some of us die? who decides
who dies? sorry I dont think anyone is qualified to make that call. how can
all be welcome when some of us think its OK to shift carbon from one
accounting head to another for money : no matter how much money. <br>
<br>
Sorry I didn't mean to say that everyone is welcome in a simplistic sense,
although I do think everyone is capable of hearing the truth about how we
should live and act, and that no-one is damned until the final moment of
truth either devours or save them. There are those who will fight us, as they
always have done, and they will of course lose. But those who hear the truth
of what we say, that the world's salvation lies in the making of a new
society, built in every local community but joined up across the world, not state
not market but independent civil society; they will come. And they may well
come from unexpected places - just as the nay sayers will. And the nay sayers
are the culprits for the deaths you speak of, those who put their store in
the state and the market place to fix things, or who just don't care. And the
longer those people drag their feet, the longer the process will take, and
the more people will unnecessarily die, and it is their responsibility, and
theirs alone, as it always has been.<br>
<br>
From the same passage: "All the nations will be gathered before him, and
he will separate the people one from another as a shepherd separates the
sheep from the goats. He will put the sheep on his right and the goats on his
left...Then he will say to those on his left, ‘Depart from me, you who
are cursed, into the eternal fire prepared for the devil and his angels. For
I was hungry and you gave me nothing to eat, I was thirsty and you gave me
nothing to drink, I was a stranger and you did not invite me in, I needed clothes
and you did not clothe me, I was sick and in prison and you did not look
after me.’ " <a href="http://niv.scripturetext.com/matthew/25.htm"
target="_blank">http://niv.scripturetext.com/matthew/25.htm</a> <br>
<br>
I know it's unfashionable to say it. But if we are believers we should pray
for divine assistance to take us out of our ghetto. And if we are not, we
should call upon whatever force we do believe in to come to our collective
aid, and then, from there we should start trusting that history is on our
side, and start mobilising for a new society, with completely different
values, and new cultural engine at heart, and beginning in every community,
because there are people dying, in all sorts of ways, everywhere.<br>
<br>
That's our calling, isn't it? <br>
<br>
A Salaam Aleykum<br>
<br>
<st1:PersonName w:st="on">Mark</st1:PersonName><br>
<br>
<br>
Queries:<br>
who decides where the barricades are set? <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>how do
we set these without enough information being given to the "grass
roots"?<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>Who
decides what this information should be.<br>
this is a lot more complicated than a simple call.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>Who
decides whether the call is for 2degrees or 1.5 degrees or 0.8 degrees which
is already bad enough if you are one of the communities who are dying of
drought or flood.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>Who has
this right to decide that its Ok if some of us die? who decides who dies?<br>
sorry I dont think anyone is qualified to make that call.<br>
how can all be welcome when some of us think its OK to shift carbon from one
accounting head to another for money : no matter how much money. <br>
<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'><br>
On Sat, Dec 19, 2009 at 10:39 PM, <st1:PersonName w:st="on">Mark</st1:PersonName>
Barrett <<a href="http://mc/compose?to=marknbarrett@googlemail.com"
target="_blank"><b><font color=red><span style='color:red;font-weight:bold'>vsl
mailsafe has detected a possible fraud/phishing attempt from "mc"
claiming to be</span></font></b> marknbarrett@googlemail.com</a>> wrote:<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>What we
need for a paradigm shift is to organise ourselves under one banner, in which
all are welcome, and across ALL the local communities in the world. How many
times does it need to be said, before we make the simple call out for ALL
local groups to converge on the local arms of the state at the same time, and
then build our networks from there, and to do it again and again and again,
to build local groupings across all th ideological divides, and thereby at
last to carve out the visible, independent spaces, in every locality, where a
new sovereignty - based on stewardship - can be realised, so then finally
everyone can chose which side of the barricade they are on, and so the world
can no longer misrepresent, or ignore what we really stand for? <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'><br>
2009/12/19 ><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>Dear
all <br>
I am not comfortable truly with the hype of considering anyone
"winners" in this "game". Please can we stop
adopting the language of military strategy and corporate manipulation.
It affects how we perceive and think. We are all losers already. every
one has lost for the last 25 years at least since climate change was
recognised: hundreds of species exterminated , already human death tolls and
suffering have reached incredible levels. We are not trying to win : we are
trying desperately to salvage life and lives from the wreck of greed and
hubris. Can we finally stop buying the spin and re-work our
fundamentals, our approaches and our own thinking? And stop being so
manic or epressive about what we should have known would be a very hard
struggle ? We are talking of a paradigm shift here, people. Do
you really think it is going to come from those in power?<br>
Anna <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'> <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>On Sat,
Dec 19, 2009 at 3:51 AM, Patrick Bond wrote:<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'><br>
(You do the spotting of biases/ignorance.)<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'><a
href="http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/environment/copenhagen/article6961367.ece"
target="_blank">http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/environment/copenhagen/article6961367.ece</a><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>1830
Looking at the latest draft - which is the one Greenpeace must have been
reacting to, and it does indeed read a bit like a G8 communique. Let's gut it
a bit and try to see who's come out on top from the various tussles over the
past fortnight. Remember it's only a draft.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>Firstly
the name: <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Copenhagen</st1:place></st1:City>
Accord. That is stronger than the Copenhagen Declaration or somesuch, so it
is an international agreement, which makes it binding in at least a moral
sense.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>Winners:
the Danes, unless this treaty is trashed in which case they might ask for its
name to be changed.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>There's
no explicit binding target on temperature - just a recognition of the
"scientific view" that limiting temperature rise to 2C would
"enhance our long-term cooperative action to combat climate
change".<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>Winners:
Oil producers. Losers: Small island states, LDCs, the planet as a whole<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>A new
clause further down the document says later reviews of the Copenhagen Accord
would look at a target of 1.5C.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>Winners:
<st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Tuvalu</st1:place></st1:country-region>
and the low-lying islands (if that review ever takes place)<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>The
parties agree that that deep carbon emission cuts are required, according to
the science, and "with a view to reduce global emissions by 50 per cent
in 2050 below 1990 levels, taking into account the right to equitable access
to atmospheric space".<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>Winners:
the emerging economies including <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place
w:st="on">Brazil</st1:place></st1:country-region> will be pleased by that
last clause.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>No
specific target on "global peaking" (the point at which emissions
peak - a crucial target for scientists) which the <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place
w:st="on">UK</st1:place></st1:country-region> had wanted to be set at 2020.
Instead the text says: "We should co-operate in achieving the peaking of
global and national emissions as soon as possible, recognising that the time
frame for peaking will be longer in develoing countires and bearing in mind
that social and economic development and poverty eradication are the first
and overriding priorities of developing countries..."<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>Winners:
Again, <st1:country-region w:st="on">China</st1:country-region>, <st1:country-region
w:st="on">Brazil</st1:country-region> and other emerging economies such as <st1:country-region
w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">India</st1:place></st1:country-region>.
There's no target on their peaking.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>Developed
countries commit to reducing their emissions individually or jointly by at
least 80 per cent by 2050. Individual 2020 targets to be listed in an
appendix (which is still blank). Verification to be rigorous, robust and
transparent. The EU was offering the 80 per cent target.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>Winners:
In the longer term, the planet.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>But
there is no overall target on emission limits or "mitigation
actions" by major emerging economies, such as <st1:country-region w:st="on">China</st1:country-region>,
<st1:country-region w:st="on">India</st1:country-region> and <st1:country-region
w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Brazil</st1:place></st1:country-region>. An
earlier draft today set a 15-30 per cent target. Instead individual country
targets will be listed in an appendix to the accord. Countries will be asked
to report on their progress every two years via national communications - but
there's no comeback if they're lying.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>If
countries want international support for their mitigation actions - <st1:country-region
w:st="on">China</st1:country-region> and <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place
w:st="on">Brazil</st1:place></st1:country-region> have made clear that they
don't - then they face international measurement.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>Winners:
<st1:country-region w:st="on">China</st1:country-region> and <st1:country-region
w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Brazil</st1:place></st1:country-region>.
Losers: US and EU<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>Caveat:
there is a square bracket [Consideration to be inserted US and <st1:country-region
w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">China</st1:place></st1:country-region>], which
suggests that this battle is not yet over.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>Funding:
developed countries are promised "scaled up, new and additional,
predictable and adequate funding" to help them avert and cope with
climate change. They will get $30 billion in "fast start" financing
over the next three years and the developed countries also "support the
goal of mobilising jointly $100 billion a year by 2020. This funding will be
a mixture of public, private , bilateral and multilateral and
"alternative" - ie market-based - finance. The multilateral funding
will be channeled through trust funds on which developed and developing
countries have equal representation.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>Winners:
developing countries, especially the Africans and small island states.
Developed world will be happy to have flexibility in funding<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>There
will be a review of this accord and its implementation by 2016, including the
1.5C target. But there is no commitment to making it a legally binding
international treaty and no mention of the next COP meeting in <st1:City
w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Mexico City</st1:place></st1:City> next year,
which an earlier draft had suggested should be held within six months.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>Winners:
<st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">China</st1:place></st1:country-region>
and G77 countries, which wanted to avoid new international treaty - but,
interestingly, the only mention of the Kyoto Protocol, which they want to
keep, is in the preamble, which endorses the decision that the KP working
group should continue its work on a new round of commitments by developed
countries under that pact. That omission could be read both ways.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>Overall
winners: You do the math. <br>
<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
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<br>
-- <br>
"We hear men speaking for us of new laws strong and sweet /Yet is there no
man speaketh as we speak in the street.” <br>
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